Match

Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey

Chertsey TownHanworth Villa

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hanworth Villa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,843) and Hanworth Villa (1,848).

Chertsey Town win45 %
Draw25 %
Hanworth Villa win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hanworth Villa have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Hanworth Villa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Evesham United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bath City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Taunton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 21, 2026Kingstonian(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chertsey Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hanworth Villa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2024Hanworth Villa 1-2 Chertsey TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Sep 9, 2023Hanworth Villa 1-1 Chertsey TownFA Trophy
Aug 12, 2023Chertsey Town 2-1 Hanworth VillaNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Dec 26, 2022Hanworth Villa 0-4 Chertsey TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Aug 29, 2022Chertsey Town 1-1 Hanworth VillaNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Aug 20, 2022Hanworth Villa 2-1 Chertsey TownFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town on Apr 6, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15
Hanworth Villa1.70.767/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Hanworth Villa sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
3Hanworth Villa4301729

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hanworth Villa.
Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa played?
Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chertsey Town and Hanworth Villa

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