Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hanworth Villa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,843) and Hanworth Villa (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hanworth Villa have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chertsey Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hanworth Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Hanworth Villa 1-2 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Hanworth Villa 1-1 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Chertsey Town 2-1 Hanworth Villa | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Hanworth Villa 0-4 Chertsey Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Chertsey Town 1-1 Hanworth Villa | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Hanworth Villa 2-1 Chertsey Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town on Apr 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hanworth Villa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Hanworth Villa sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hanworth Villa.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa played?
- Chertsey Town vs Hanworth Villa is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Havant & WvillevsChichester City
- Jan 2, 2027Taunton TownvsYate Town
- Jan 2, 2027Bracknell TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Jan 2, 2027Evesham UnitedvsGloucester City
- Jan 2, 2027Hanwell TownvsBerkhamsted
- Jan 2, 2027Gosport BoroughvsSholing
- Jan 2, 2027Poole TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Jan 2, 2027Wimborne TownvsUxbridge