Porreres vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Porreres the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porreres vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Porreres (1,782) and Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porreres have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Barcelona B(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Porreres win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Porreres 1-1 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-1 Porreres | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Porreres vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Porreres score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porreres | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porreres vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
- The Footlab model makes Porreres the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas.
- Where and when is Porreres vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas played?
- Porreres vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.