Match

Arenal vs Sineu: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Son Verí, S'Arenal de Llucmajor

ArenalSineu

The Footlab model makes Arenal the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sineu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenal vs Sineu?

Arenal win47 %
Draw26 %
Sineu win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenal have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Sineu have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2024Llosetense(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
May 5, 2024Alcúdia(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
May 1, 2024Sóller(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 27, 2024Santanyí(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Apr 20, 2024Manacor(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenal vs Sineu?
The Footlab model makes Arenal the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sineu.
Where and when is Arenal vs Sineu played?
Arenal vs Sineu is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Son Verí, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arenal and Sineu

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