Match

Arenal vs Sineu: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Son Verí, S'Arenal de Llucmajor

ArenalSineu

The Footlab AI model makes Arenal the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sineu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arenal wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenal vs Sineu?

On Elo ratings, Arenal has 1,637 points and Sineu 1,686.

53%25%22%
Arenal winDrawSineu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arenal vs Sineu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arenal

4-3-3
  1. DDavid García Movilla
  2. CChino
  3. TToni Arrom
  1. JJuan José
  2. MMarc Bonet
  3. JJuan Carlos Gómez Sintes
  1. DDavid García
  2. DDani Amengual
  3. SSantiago Soler Quert
  4. JJuanca
  1. LLluc Ramis

Sineu

Not enough data to predict the Sineu lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenal have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Sineu have 0, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026PE Sant Jordi(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Oct 3, 2026Llosetense(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 26, 2026Porreres(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 19, 2026Mercadal(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 12, 2026Alcúdia(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sineu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Migjorn(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Oct 10, 2026Platges Calvià(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Oct 3, 2026Binissalem(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 27, 2026Manacor(home)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 20, 2026Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

How many goals should we expect?

Arenal score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sineu score 0.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenal0.82.318/1513/15
Sineu0.42.312/73/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenal sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (3 points from 6 matches) and Sineu sit 17th (1 point from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Arenal61055143
17Sineu70163161

A question about Arenal vs Sineu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenal vs Sineu?
The Footlab AI model makes Arenal the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sineu.
Where and when is Arenal vs Sineu played?
Arenal vs Sineu is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Son Verí, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arenal and Sineu

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