Alcúdia vs Binissalem: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Alcúdia the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Binissalem. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcúdia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcúdia vs Binissalem?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Alcúdia (1,709) and Binissalem (1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcúdia vs Binissalem
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcúdia
Not enough data to predict the Alcúdia lineup.
Binissalem
Not enough data to predict the Binissalem lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcúdia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Binissalem have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Constància(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Santanyí(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arenal(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alcúdia wins, 2 draws, 2 Binissalem wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Alcúdia 1-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Binissalem 1-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Binissalem 0-1 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Alcúdia 2-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 1, 2024 | Alcúdia 0-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Binissalem 3-1 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcúdia score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Binissalem score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcúdia | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Binissalem | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcúdia sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (9 points from 6 matches) and Binissalem sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Alcúdia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Alcúdia vs Binissalem?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcúdia vs Binissalem?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcúdia the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Binissalem.
- Where and when is Alcúdia vs Binissalem played?
- Alcúdia vs Binissalem is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.