Port FC vs Buriram United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)PAT Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Port FC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Buriram United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port FC vs Buriram United?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Port FC (1,883) and Buriram United (1,965).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port FC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Buriram United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 1-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Persija(home) | 2-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PSMS Medan(away) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| May 24, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Port FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Buriram United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Port FC 3-1 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Buriram United 1-0 Port FC | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Buriram United 0-1 Port FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Port FC 0-0 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| May 12, 2024 | Buriram United 1-1 Port FC | Thai League 1 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Port FC 4-1 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Port FC vs Buriram United on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Port FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port FC | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Port FC sit 2nd in Thai League 1 (60 points from 30 matches) and Buriram United sit 1st (70 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 23 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port FC vs Buriram United?
- The Footlab model makes Port FC the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Buriram United.
- Where and when is Port FC vs Buriram United played?
- Port FC vs Buriram United is played on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at PAT Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.