Rasi Salai United vs Chonburi FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sisaket Provincial Stadium, Nong Khrok
The Footlab model makes Rasi Salai United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Chonburi FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rasi Salai United vs Chonburi FC?
Chonburi FC starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rasi Salai United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Chonburi FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Chiangmai United(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Rasi Salai United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chonburi FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasi Salai United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chonburi FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chonburi FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rasi Salai United vs Chonburi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Rasi Salai United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Chonburi FC.
- Where and when is Rasi Salai United vs Chonburi FC played?
- Rasi Salai United vs Chonburi FC is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sisaket Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.