Portimonense vs Farense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaMatchday 33Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão
The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Portimonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Farense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,206 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portimonense vs Farense?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Portimonense (1,917) and Farense (1,986).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portimonense vs Farense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portimonense
3-4-3- 2Edney
- 93Welinton Júnior
- 7Danio Djassi
- 15Xavier
- 80Felipe Favero
- 9S. Yépié Yépié
- 21Yanis da Rocha
- 6S. Neves
- 17João Reis
- 3Jarleysom Amurim
- 1Dudu
Farense
4-3-3- 7João Resende
- 17André Candeias
- 11Nélson Oliveira
- 10S. Singh
- 29Cláudio Falcão
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 37Gonçalo Silva
- 44N. Zolotić
- 78Alex Pinto
- 6Derick Poloni
- 97F. Buntić
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portimonense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Farense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Portimonense wins, 1 draw, 1 Farense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Portimonense 1-0 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Farense 0-1 Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Portimonense 0-0 Farense | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 18, 2024 | Farense 1-3 Portimonense | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Portimonense 1-0 Farense | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Farense 2-1 Portimonense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Portimonense vs Farense on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portimonense score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Farense score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portimonense | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Farense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portimonense sit 10th in Segunda Liga (14 points from 10 matches) and Farense sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Farense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Portimonense vs Farense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portimonense vs Farense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Portimonense.
- Where and when is Portimonense vs Farense played?
- Portimonense vs Farense is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Portimão, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.