Tondela vs Feirense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Feirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tondela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tondela vs Feirense?
Tondela starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tondela vs Feirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tondela
4-2-3-1- 19Tómané
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 97Cícero
- 37Sarará
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 15Carraça
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Feirense
3-4-3- 25Henrique Pereira
- 19Alexandre Guedes
- 47Piri
- 77Gui Meira
- 90Luisinho
- 24M. Diaby
- 22Samad Popoola
- 14Pedro Pinto
- 4Antonio Leal
- 20João Oliveira
- 26Diego Altube
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tondela have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Feirense have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tondela wins, 3 draws, 0 Feirense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Tondela 2-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Feirense 1-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Feirense 1-3 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Tondela 2-0 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Tondela 1-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Feirense 1-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tondela score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Feirense score 0.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Feirense | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tondela sit 7th in Segunda Liga (12 points from 7 matches) and Feirense sit 18th (1 point from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
A question about Tondela vs Feirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tondela vs Feirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Feirense.
- Where and when is Tondela vs Feirense played?
- Tondela vs Feirense is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio João Cardoso, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.