Porto BA vs Jacuipense: prediction and stats
Baiano - 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Agnaldo Bento Santos, Porto Seguro, Bahia
The Footlab AI model makes Porto BA the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Jacuipense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porto BA wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,822 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porto BA vs Jacuipense?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Porto BA (1,461) and Jacuipense (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porto BA vs Jacuipense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porto BA
Not enough data to predict the Porto BA lineup.
Jacuipense
4-2-3-1- 9Pedro Henrique
- 10William
- 6Daniel Costa
- 17Thiaguinho
- 21Thiaguinho
- 5Gabriel Pereira
- 13Ruan Nascimento
- 2Vicente
- 15Jhones Germano
- 3Railon
- 1Marcelo
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 05:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porto BA have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Jacuipense have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Tombense(home) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| May 25, 2026 | Democrata GV(away) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| May 16, 2026 | Vitória ES(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| May 9, 2026 | Real Noroeste(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Treze(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Treze(home) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 14, 2026 | ASA(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 31, 2026 | CSA(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 24, 2026 | Juazeirense(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Porto BA win, 0 draws, 1 Jacuipense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Porto BA 3-2 Jacuipense | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Jacuipense 5-0 Porto BA | Baiano - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Porto BA vs Jacuipense on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Porto BA score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jacuipense score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto BA | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Jacuipense | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porto BA sit 6th in Baiano - 1 (11 points from 9 matches) and Jacuipense sit 3rd (13 points from 9 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jacuipense | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Porto BA | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Porto BA vs Jacuipense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porto BA vs Jacuipense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porto BA the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Jacuipense.
- Where and when is Porto BA vs Jacuipense played?
- Porto BA vs Jacuipense is played on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Agnaldo Bento Santos, in the Baiano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.