Porto BA vs Jequié: prediction and stats
Baiano - 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Agnaldo Bento Santos, Porto Seguro, Bahia
The Footlab AI model makes Jequié the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Porto BA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jequié wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porto BA vs Jequié?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Porto BA (1,461) and Jequié (1,524).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porto BA vs Jequié
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porto BA
Not enough data to predict the Porto BA lineup.
Jequié
4-3-3- 9Tiago Souza
- 11Edilson Matos dos Santos Junior
- 22Marcinho
- 8Jô
- 25Gatinha Ze
- 5Walfrido
- 3Mineiro William
- 14Baiano Caique
- 15Baiano Sergio
- 16Carioca Gabriel
- 12Fábio Szymonek
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porto BA have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Jequié have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Tombense(home) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| May 25, 2026 | Democrata GV(away) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| May 16, 2026 | Vitória ES(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| May 9, 2026 | Real Noroeste(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Barcelona BA(home) | 1-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Galícia(away) | 1-2 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-2 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Jacuipense(away) | 2-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 2-1 | Baiano - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Porto BA wins, 1 draw, 1 Jequié win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Jequié 1-1 Porto BA | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Porto BA 1-2 Jequié | Baiano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Porto BA score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jequié score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto BA | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Jequié | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porto BA sit 6th in Baiano - 1 (11 points from 9 matches) and Jequié sit 5th (12 points from 9 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jequié | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
| 6 | Porto BA | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Porto BA vs Jequié?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porto BA vs Jequié?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jequié the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Porto BA.
- Where and when is Porto BA vs Jequié played?
- Porto BA vs Jequié is played on February 13, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Agnaldo Bento Santos, in the Baiano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.