Porto vs Central SC: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Luiz José de Lacerda, Caruaru, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Porto the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Central SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porto vs Central SC?
On Elo ratings, Porto has 1,459 points and Central SC 1,583.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porto vs Central SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porto
Not enough data to predict the Porto lineup.
Central SC
Not enough data to predict the Central SC lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porto have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Central SC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Acadêmica Vitória(away) | 2-3 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Aguia FC(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Caruaru City(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ypiranga PE(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Acadêmica Vitória(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Ferroviario(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Ferroviario(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 29, 2026 | America-RN(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | Sousa(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Porto wins, 1 draw, 1 Central SC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2024 | Porto 2-3 Central SC | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Porto 0-0 Central SC | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Porto score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Central SC score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Central SC | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Porto vs Central SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porto vs Central SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porto the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Central SC.
- Where and when is Porto vs Central SC played?
- Porto vs Central SC is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Luiz José de Lacerda, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.