Portsmouth vs Carlisle: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Full time
What was the result of Portsmouth vs Carlisle?
Portsmouth won 1-0 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′C. ShaughnessyPortsmouth
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portsmouth have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Carlisle have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2023 | Gillingham(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Wycombe(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Wigan(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Lincoln(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Bolton(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Peterborough(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Portsmouth win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | Carlisle 0-3 Portsmouth | League Two |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Portsmouth 1-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Portsmouth 1-0 Carlisle | League Two |
| Nov 21, 2015 | Carlisle 2-2 Portsmouth | League Two |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Carlisle 2-2 Portsmouth | League Two |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Portsmouth 3-0 Carlisle | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Portsmouth on Feb 25, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Portsmouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Carlisle | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy