Shrewsbury vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of Shrewsbury vs Derby?
Shrewsbury won 1-0 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 56′C. HourihaneShrewsbury (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Oxford United(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Charlton(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2023 | Notts County(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Blackpool(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Cambridge United(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Shrewsbury win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Derby 2-2 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Shrewsbury 0-0 Derby | League One |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Derby 2-3 Shrewsbury | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 0.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy