Portsmouth vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 21, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Full time
What was the result of Portsmouth vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on April 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 41′Jake BuxtonDerby
- 74′Luke VarneyPortsmouth
- 78′S. DaviesDerby (pen.)
Official lineup for Portsmouth vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Portsmouth
- 11Luke Varney
- 17A. Harris
- 18D. Kitson
- 16S. Allan
- 19D. Norris
- 2J. Ward
- 3Ricardo Sérgio Rocha Azevedo
- 5Jason Daniel Pearce
- 15Gregory Halford
- 23K. Rekik
- 1J. Ashdown
Derby
- 7S. Davies
- 9Nathan Tyson
- 10Jamie John Ward
- 21T. Robinson
- 4Craig James Bryson
- 23J. Hendrick
- 2J. Brayford
- 3Gareth Roberts
- 6J. Shackell
- 17Jake Buxton
- 1F. Fielding
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portsmouth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2012 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Doncaster(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2012 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Southampton(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Burnley(home) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2012 | Cardiff(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2012 | Leeds(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Ipswich(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Bristol City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Portsmouth wins, 0 draws, 1 Derby win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | Derby 3-1 Portsmouth | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Portsmouth score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portsmouth sit 10th in Championship (22 points from 14 matches) and Derby sit 23rd (7 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 22 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 7 |
A question about Portsmouth vs Derby?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy