Portsmouth vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 21, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Full time
What was the result of Portsmouth vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on April 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 41′Jake BuxtonDerby
- 74′Luke VarneyPortsmouth
- 78′S. DaviesDerby (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portsmouth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2012 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Doncaster(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2012 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Southampton(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Burnley(home) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2012 | Cardiff(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2012 | Leeds(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Ipswich(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Bristol City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Portsmouth win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | Derby 3-1 Portsmouth | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Portsmouth score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portsmouth sit 10th in Championship (3 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy