Derby vs Portsmouth: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 29, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Portsmouth?
Derby won 3-1 on October 29, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 3′Craig James BrysonDerby
- 14′C. MaguireDerby
- 33′Jamie John WardDerby
- 79′Jason Daniel PearcePortsmouth
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Derby have 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Portsmouth have 4, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2011 | Reading(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leicester(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | Doncaster(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2011 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leeds(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Peterborough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; Portsmouth score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/14 | 8/14 |
| Portsmouth | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/14 | 4/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Portsmouth sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy