Posta Rangers FC vs Ulinzi Stars: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Thika Municipal Stadium, Thika
The Footlab model makes Ulinzi Stars the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Posta Rangers FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Posta Rangers FC vs Ulinzi Stars?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Posta Rangers FC (1,414) and Ulinzi Stars (1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Posta Rangers FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ulinzi Stars have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | KCB(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 11, 2026 | Sofapaka(home) | 3-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Posta Rangers FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ulinzi Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC 0-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 3-0 Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| May 14, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Posta Rangers FC 1-2 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Posta Rangers FC 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Ulinzi Stars 0-2 Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Posta Rangers FC vs Ulinzi Stars on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Posta Rangers FC score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ulinzi Stars score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Posta Rangers FC | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Posta Rangers FC sit 15th in FKF Premier League (40 points from 34 matches) and Ulinzi Stars sit 13th (41 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers FC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31 | 40 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Posta Rangers FC vs Ulinzi Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Ulinzi Stars the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Posta Rangers FC.
- Where and when is Posta Rangers FC vs Ulinzi Stars played?
- Posta Rangers FC vs Ulinzi Stars is played on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Thika Municipal Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.