Preston vs Burnley: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston vs Burnley?
Burnley starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Preston vs Burnley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Preston
3-4-2-1- 10C. Lang
- 7A. Devine
- 15J. Thompson
- 27L. Leroy
- 17S. Mills
- 20L. Gibbs
- 11T. Small
- 14J. Storey
- 24O. Offiah
- 16A. Hughes
- 1D. Iversen
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 23Lucas Pires
- 37G. Coudert
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Burnley have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | QPR(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Preston win, 3 draws, 2 Burnley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Preston 3-0 Burnley | FA Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Preston 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Burnley 0-0 Preston | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Burnley 3-0 Preston | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Preston 1-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2016 | Preston 0-1 Burnley | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston sit 24th in Championship (4 points from 10 matches) and Burnley sit 21st (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
A question about Preston vs Burnley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston vs Burnley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Preston.
- Where and when is Preston vs Burnley played?
- Preston vs Burnley is played on March 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Deepdale, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.