Příbram vs Třinec: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Litavce, Příbram
The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Příbram. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Příbram vs Třinec?
Třinec starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Příbram have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Třinec have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vlašim(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Prostějov(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Strakonice(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(away) | 2-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Opava(home) | 1-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Opava(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Příbram win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Třinec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2023 | Třinec 2-1 Příbram | FNL |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Příbram 3-1 Třinec | FNL |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Třinec 4-1 Příbram | FNL |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Příbram 0-1 Třinec | FNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Příbram score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Třinec score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Příbram | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Třinec | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Příbram | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 30 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Příbram vs Třinec?
- The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Příbram.
- Where and when is Příbram vs Třinec played?
- Příbram vs Třinec is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Litavce, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.