Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 1. HFK Olomouc, Olomouc
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Labem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Prostějov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem?
Ústí nad Labem starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prostějov have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ústí nad Labem have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kladno(home) | 3-1 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Příbram(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Karviná(home) | 1-2 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dukla Praha(home) | 3-1 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Třinec(away) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 3-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hanácká(away) | 2-0 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Prostějov win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ústí nad Labem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Prostějov 2-1 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Ústí nad Labem 1-2 Prostějov | FNL |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Prostějov 0-2 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Ústí nad Labem 1-1 Prostějov | FNL |
| Apr 30, 2021 | Ústí nad Labem 1-2 Prostějov | FNL |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Prostějov 0-1 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
Last archived meeting: Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Prostějov score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Labem score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prostějov | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Ústí nad Labem | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prostějov sit 14th in FNL (30 points from 30 matches) and Ústí nad Labem sit 4th (48 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 32 | 44 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Labem the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Prostějov.
- Where and when is Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem played?
- Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 1. HFK Olomouc, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.