Priehrada vs Baník Prievidza: prediction and stats
CupRound of 128Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Baník Prievidza the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Priehrada. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Priehrada vs Baník Prievidza?
Baník Prievidza starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,584 vs 1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Priehrada have 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Baník Prievidza have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Družstevník Jacovce(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Tatran Uhrovec(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 4-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MŠK Senec(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gabčíkovo(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fomat Martin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Rača(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Priehrada score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 2; Baník Prievidza score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priehrada | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| Baník Prievidza | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Priehrada vs Baník Prievidza?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Prievidza the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Priehrada.
- Where and when is Priehrada vs Baník Prievidza played?
- Priehrada vs Baník Prievidza is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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