Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on June 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Probiy-Arena, Horodenka
The Footlab AI model makes Probiy Horodenka the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for UCSA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Probiy Horodenka wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Probiy Horodenka (1,630) and UCSA (1,638).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Probiy Horodenka
4-3-3- 19V. Napuda
- 21M. Girnyi
- 30O. Lepskyi
- 98A. Fesenko
- 7A. Savitskyi
- 18A. Bliznichenko
- 16I. Guk
- 5V. Savchyn
- 95M. Lopyrenok
- 2V. Radulskyi
- 31Kyrylo Arkhypchuk
UCSA
4-3-3- 9O. Khoblenko
- 22Yegor Rogach
- 71Ruan Santos
- 6R. Yuvkhimets
- 49Vitinho
- 73P. Castro
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 42D. Makhnev
- 12A. Kovalev
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Probiy Horodenka have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; UCSA have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SK Poltava(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 2-4 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Probiy Horodenka win, 1 draw, 0 UCSA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka 1-0 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | UCSA 0-0 Probiy Horodenka | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Probiy Horodenka score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; UCSA score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probiy Horodenka | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| UCSA | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Probiy Horodenka sit 15th in Persha Liga (8 points from 11 matches) and UCSA sit 13th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 8 |
A question about Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Probiy Horodenka the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for UCSA.
- Where and when is Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA played?
- Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA is played on June 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Probiy-Arena, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.