Progres Niederkorn vs Résidence Walferdange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Résidence Walferdange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Résidence Walferdange?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,353).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Résidence Walferdange have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Résidence Walferdange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange 0-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Résidence Walferdange 3-5 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Résidence Walferdange vs Progres Niederkorn on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Résidence Walferdange | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Résidence Walferdange sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Résidence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs Résidence Walferdange?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Résidence Walferdange.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Résidence Walferdange played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs Résidence Walferdange is played on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.