Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
US Mondorf-les-bains starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 1-0 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Apr 27, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 1-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| May 5, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-4 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| May 1, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-2 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
Last archived meeting: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Progres Niederkorn.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027F91 DudelangevsWiltz
- Feb 28, 2027FC Differdange 03vsUS Hostert
- Feb 28, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsUS Rumelange
- Feb 28, 2027Victoria RosportvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Feb 28, 2027Swift HesperangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Feb 28, 2027Atert BissenvsUNA Strassen
- Feb 28, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsEtzella Ettelbruck