Match

Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn

Progres NiederkornUS Mondorf-les-bains

The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for US Mondorf-les-bains. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progres Niederkorn wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

On Elo ratings, Progres Niederkorn has 1,546 points and US Mondorf-les-bains 1,655.

37%26%37%
Progres Niederkorn winDrawUS Mondorf-les-bains win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Progres Niederkorn

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Bouche
  2. 77K. Corral
  3. 71F. Hoxha
  1. 23Clayton Duarte
  2. 80K. Avdusinovic
  3. 10Omar Natami
  1. 28A. Guett Guett
  2. 11M. Gilgemann
  3. 14C. Sacras
  4. 27V. Peugnet
  1. 1S. Flauss

US Mondorf-les-bains

Not enough data to predict the US Mondorf-les-bains lineup.

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Wiltz(home)4-5Cup
Oct 31, 2026Swift Hesperange(home)3-0National Division
Oct 24, 2026Etzella Ettelbruck(away)0-2National Division
Oct 17, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(home)1-2National Division
Oct 11, 2026US Hostert(away)2-0National Division
US Mondorf-les-bains
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Mamer(away)3-1Cup
Oct 31, 2026US Hostert(home)2-1National Division
Oct 25, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away)0-6National Division
Oct 18, 2026Wiltz(home)4-1National Division
Oct 11, 2026US Rumelange(away)2-1National Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progres Niederkorn wins, 1 draw, 3 US Mondorf-les-bains wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains 2-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Feb 8, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains 1-0 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Aug 9, 2025Progres Niederkorn 1-0 US Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division
Apr 27, 2025US Mondorf-les-bains 2-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Nov 3, 2024Progres Niederkorn 1-1 US Mondorf-les-bainsNational Division
May 5, 2024US Mondorf-les-bains 2-4 Progres NiederkornNational Division

Last archived meeting: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Progres Niederkorn score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Progres Niederkorn2.11.076/159/15
US Mondorf-les-bains2.51.5113/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Progres Niederkorn sit 6th in National Division (22 points from 12 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 3rd (27 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3US Mondorf-les-bains12903242027
6Progres Niederkorn1271419922

A question about Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for US Mondorf-les-bains.
Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Progres Niederkorn and US Mondorf-les-bains

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