Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for US Mondorf-les-bains. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progres Niederkorn wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,364 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
On Elo ratings, Progres Niederkorn has 1,546 points and US Mondorf-les-bains 1,655.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progres Niederkorn
4-3-3- 19Y. Bouche
- 77K. Corral
- 71F. Hoxha
- 23Clayton Duarte
- 80K. Avdusinovic
- 10Omar Natami
- 28A. Guett Guett
- 11M. Gilgemann
- 14C. Sacras
- 27V. Peugnet
- 1S. Flauss
US Mondorf-les-bains
Not enough data to predict the US Mondorf-les-bains lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 4-5 | Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Mamer(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 0-6 | National Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 4-1 | National Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progres Niederkorn wins, 1 draw, 3 US Mondorf-les-bains wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Feb 8, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 1-0 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Apr 27, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 1-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| May 5, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-4 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 6th in National Division (22 points from 12 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 3rd (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 27 |
| 6 | Progres Niederkorn | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 22 |
A question about Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for US Mondorf-les-bains.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027F91 DudelangevsWiltz
- Feb 28, 2027FC Differdange 03vsUS Hostert
- Feb 28, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsUS Rumelange
- Feb 28, 2027Victoria RosportvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Feb 28, 2027Swift HesperangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Feb 28, 2027Atert BissenvsUNA Strassen
- Feb 28, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsEtzella Ettelbruck