US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Rumelange
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for US Rumelange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Rumelange have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 US Rumelange win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Progres Niederkorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | US Rumelange 1-3 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
| Apr 12, 2023 | US Rumelange 1-3 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
| May 19, 2019 | Progres Niederkorn 3-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Aug 5, 2018 | US Rumelange 2-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Feb 19, 2017 | US Rumelange 1-3 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Aug 19, 2016 | Progres Niederkorn 4-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn on Nov 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Rumelange sit 7th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for US Rumelange.
- Where and when is US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsF91 Dudelange
- Mar 7, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsFC Differdange 03
- Mar 7, 2027UNA StrassenvsRésidence Walferdange
- Mar 7, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsAtert Bissen
- Mar 7, 2027US HostertvsVictoria Rosport
- Mar 7, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsSwift Hesperange
- Mar 7, 2027WiltzvsAS Jeunesse Esch