Match

US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Rumelange

US RumelangeProgres Niederkorn

The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for US Rumelange. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn?

Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,313).

16%20%64%
US Rumelange winDrawProgres Niederkorn win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

US Rumelange

4-3-3
  1. EE. Mokrani
  2. JJ. Diallo
  3. FF. Şahin
  1. HH. Moukam
  2. 19N. Dragovic
  3. KKevin Lourenço
  1. MMateusz Siebert
  2. FF. Thior
  3. EE. Schmit
  4. EE. Donval
  1. YY. Heil

Progres Niederkorn

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Bouche
  2. 77K. Corral
  3. 71F. Hoxha
  1. 23Clayton Duarte
  2. 80K. Avdusinovic
  3. 10Omar Natami
  1. 28A. Guett Guett
  2. 11M. Gilgemann
  3. 14C. Sacras
  4. 27V. Peugnet
  1. 1S. Flauss

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Rumelange have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

US Rumelange
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Résidence Walferdange(away)3-3National Division
Oct 11, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains(home)1-2National Division
Sep 20, 2026Pratzerthal-Redange(away)9-1Cup
Sep 16, 2026UNA Strassen(away)0-2National Division
Sep 13, 2026Atert Bissen(home)0-6National Division
Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(home)1-2National Division
Oct 11, 2026US Hostert(away)2-0National Division
Sep 20, 2026Kopstal 33(away)7-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home)0-0National Division
Sep 12, 2026Wiltz(away)2-1National Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 US Rumelange win, 0 draws, 5 Progres Niederkorn wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Progres Niederkorn 3-0 US RumelangeNational Division
Nov 10, 2024US Rumelange 1-3 Progres NiederkornCup
Apr 12, 2023US Rumelange 1-3 Progres NiederkornCup
May 19, 2019Progres Niederkorn 3-0 US RumelangeNational Division
Aug 5, 2018US Rumelange 2-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Feb 19, 2017US Rumelange 1-3 Progres NiederkornNational Division

Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

US Rumelange score 2.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
US Rumelange2.02.7110/1512/15
Progres Niederkorn1.91.468/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

US Rumelange sit 13th in National Division (7 points from 10 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 7th (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Progres Niederkorn1061316719
13US Rumelange1021712287

A question about US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn?
The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for US Rumelange.
Where and when is US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn played?
US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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