Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for US Rumelange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,556 vs 1,305).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; US Rumelange have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 US Rumelange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | US Rumelange 1-3 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
| Apr 12, 2023 | US Rumelange 1-3 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
| May 19, 2019 | Progres Niederkorn 3-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Aug 5, 2018 | US Rumelange 2-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Feb 19, 2017 | US Rumelange 1-3 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Aug 19, 2016 | Progres Niederkorn 4-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Rumelange vs Progres Niederkorn on Nov 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and US Rumelange sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for US Rumelange.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026F91 DudelangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Sep 6, 2026FC Differdange 03vsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Sep 6, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsWiltz
- Sep 6, 2026Victoria RosportvsUS Hostert
- Sep 6, 2026Swift HesperangevsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Sep 6, 2026Atert BissenvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Sep 6, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsUNA Strassen