F91 Dudelange vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Nosbaum, Dudelange
The Footlab model makes F91 Dudelange the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win F91 Dudelange vs Progres Niederkorn?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate F91 Dudelange (1,586) and Progres Niederkorn (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, F91 Dudelange have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 F91 Dudelange win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Progres Niederkorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 2-4 F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2025 | F91 Dudelange 4-3 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 2-1 F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | F91 Dudelange 1-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| May 18, 2024 | F91 Dudelange 0-2 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Progres Niederkorn 1-0 F91 Dudelange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs F91 Dudelange on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
F91 Dudelange score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F91 Dudelange | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
F91 Dudelange sit 14th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 | F91 Dudelange | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | F91 Dudelange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for F91 Dudelange vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab model makes F91 Dudelange the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Progres Niederkorn.
- Where and when is F91 Dudelange vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- F91 Dudelange vs Progres Niederkorn is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Nosbaum, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026FC Differdange 03vsUNA Strassen
- Dec 6, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsRésidence Walferdange
- Dec 6, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsWiltz
- Dec 6, 2026Victoria RosportvsAtert Bissen
- Dec 6, 2026US HostertvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Dec 6, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsUS Rumelange
- Dec 6, 2026Swift HesperangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains