Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Rumelange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif du Deich, Ettelbrück
The Footlab model makes US Rumelange the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Rumelange?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Etzella Ettelbruck (1,323) and US Rumelange (1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etzella Ettelbruck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; US Rumelange have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 US Rumelange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | US Rumelange 3-5 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Etzella Ettelbruck 2-1 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Apr 17, 2016 | US Rumelange 1-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Apr 19, 2015 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Oct 2, 2014 | US Rumelange 0-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Rumelange vs Etzella Ettelbruck on Mar 3, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th in National Division (1 points from 3 matches) and US Rumelange sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Rumelange?
- The Footlab model makes US Rumelange the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Rumelange played?
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Rumelange is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif du Deich, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026F91 DudelangevsProgres Niederkorn
- Dec 6, 2026FC Differdange 03vsUNA Strassen
- Dec 6, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsRésidence Walferdange
- Dec 6, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsWiltz
- Dec 6, 2026Victoria RosportvsAtert Bissen
- Dec 6, 2026US HostertvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Dec 6, 2026Swift HesperangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains