Progreso vs Cerro: result 1-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónClausura - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Cerro?
Cerro won 1-3 on September 13, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′A. CambónCerro
- 14′A. CambónCerro
- 73′M. JuambeltzProgreso
- 88′J. AmaroCerro
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Progreso win at 41%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Progreso vs Cerro
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
4-2-3-1- 14L. Viana
- 10N. López
- 7A. Ocampo
- 17F. de León
- 25R. Cristóbal
- 5A. Pinheiro
- 40A. Cougo
- 15M. Martin
- 13H. Carroso
- 24E. Álvarez
- 1R. Bacchia
Cerro
4-3-3- 77L. Pais
- 28A. Cambón
- 7A. Severo
- 10B. Alemán
- 5A. Macelli
- 31J. Amaro
- 17Gianni Rodríguez
- 16J. Guasone
- 21N. Arena
- 22D. Suárez
- 12Y. Irrazábal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Cerro have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 1-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2026 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 0-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progreso wins, 2 draws, 1 Cerro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Cerro 0-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Progreso 2-0 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Cerro 0-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Progreso 0-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Cerro 2-3 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Cerro 1-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerro | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 6th in Primera División (20 points from 14 matches) and Cerro sit 9th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Progreso | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 20 |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 18 |
A question about Progreso vs Cerro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy