Progreso vs Club Nacional: result 1-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 2Kick-off on May 23, 2021 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Club Nacional?
Club Nacional won 1-3 on May 23, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 36′G. BergessioClub Nacional
- 40′L. FernándezClub Nacional
- 59′F. FernándezProgreso
- 87′A. TrezzaClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Club Nacional have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2021 | Villa Espanola(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 29, 2021 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Wanderers(away) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2021 | U. Catolica(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 13, 2021 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 6, 2021 | U. Catolica(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 2, 2021 | Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Super Copa |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 4-4 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Club Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 27, 2019 | Club Nacional 4-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 4, 2019 | Club Nacional 4-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Club Nacional 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Club Nacional on Feb 18, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Nacional | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Club Nacional sit 7th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy