Progreso vs Danubio: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 1Kick-off on February 4, 2018 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Danubio?
Progreso and Danubio drew 1-1 on February 4, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 24′D. TeransDanubio
- 36′Leandro Onetto BaccinoProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Danubio have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | Villa Teresa(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 13, 2017 | Villa Teresa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Central Espanol(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2017 | Central Espanol(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Villa Espanola(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2017 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-5 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 23, 2017 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-5 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 16, 2017 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2013 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Danubio 1-4 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.8 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Danubio | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy