Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: result 1-4 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2012 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?
Defensor Sporting won 1-4 on September 23, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 17′D. RolánDefensor Sporting
- 32′D. RolánDefensor Sporting
- 55′D. RolánDefensor Sporting
- 61′A. HernándezDefensor Sporting (pen.)
- 76′R. GuartecheProgreso (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Defensor Sporting have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2012 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Cerro(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 3, 2012 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 27, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor Sporting score 2.2 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Defensor Sporting | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Defensor Sporting sit 8th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 62 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 62 | 64 | 89 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 28 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy