Penarol vs Cerro: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2012 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 2-1 on September 23, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 28′M. ZalayetaPenarol
- 72′M. ZalayetaPenarol
- 82′Jorge Fabián Trujillo CáceresCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cerro have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2012 | Bella Vista(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2012 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2012 | Cerrito(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 28, 2012 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 7-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2012 | Juventud(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Progreso(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 3, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 28, 2012 | Bella Vista(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2012 | Penarol 3-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerro | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy