Progreso vs Juventud: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 15Kick-off on May 18, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Juventud?
Juventud won 1-2 on May 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′R. ChagasJuventud
- 64′A. RodriguezJuventud
- 76′E. MásProgreso (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Juventud have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Atletico Torque(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Cerro(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2025 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Boston River(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progreso win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | Progreso 2-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Juventud 1-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Juventud 1-5 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Progreso 0-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
| May 16, 2022 | Juventud 0-0 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Progreso 2-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Juventud | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy