Progreso vs Juventud: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 25, 2012 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Juventud?
Juventud won 0-1 on November 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 82′242996Juventud
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Juventud have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2012 | Penarol(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Central Espanol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2012 | Progreso 2-0 Juventud | Segunda División |
| Nov 13, 2011 | Juventud 0-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Juventud | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy