Progreso vs Juventud: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 2Kick-off on February 24, 2019 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Juventud?
Progreso won 1-0 on February 24, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 39′R. ViegaProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Juventud have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Atenas(home) | 5-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Penarol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | Fenix(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Oriental(away) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Miramar(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Rentistas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2013 | Juventud 4-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Progreso 0-1 Juventud | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Progreso 2-0 Juventud | Segunda División |
| Nov 13, 2011 | Juventud 0-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Juventud | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy