Progreso vs Penarol: result 0-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on April 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-2 on April 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 24′L. AnguloPenarol
- 39′L. AnguloPenarol
Official lineup for Progreso vs Penarol
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
- 23M. Copelotti
- 5A. Pinheiro
- 8A. Colombino
- 17F. de León
- 22A. Paz
- 24S. Viera
- 3F. GarcÃa
- 13H. Carroso
- 14F. Kidd
- 15M. Martin
- 1A. Mehring
Penarol
- 19M. Arezo
- 77L. Angulo
- 5E. Remedi
- 8N. Fernández
- 10L. Fernández
- 21J. Trindade
- 23G. Togni
- 2F. Escobar
- 6L. Ferreira
- 15M. Olivera
- 1S. Britos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Penarol have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Cerro(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Progreso wins, 1 draw, 5 Penarol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2025 | Penarol 2-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Progreso 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Progreso 1-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 23, 2024 | Penarol 3-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Penarol | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 9th in Primera División (13 points from 10 matches) and Penarol sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Progreso vs Penarol?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy