Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tre Stelle, Desenzano del Garda
The Footlab AI model makes Desenzano Calvina the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Albinoleffe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Desenzano Calvina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Desenzano Calvina (1,895) and Albinoleffe (1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Desenzano Calvina
4-3-3- 77Filippo Liberati
- 9C. Santini
- 10V. Millico
- 43L. Lupano
- 24K. Biondi
- 30A. Procaccio
- 6T. Panelli
- 70M. Parlato
- 19A. Pilati
- 3L. Giorgi
- 1Stefano Minelli
Albinoleffe
4-3-3- 70J. Desogus
- 11G. Sali
- 18A. Orfei
- 5A. Mandelli
- 19M. Agostinelli
- 16M. Gusu
- 4S. Potop
- 23E. Sottini
- 77L. Ballo
- 2B. Barba
- 22M. Michielin
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desenzano Calvina have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Albinoleffe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Novara(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Renate(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Desenzano Calvina score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Albinoleffe score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desenzano Calvina | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Albinoleffe | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Desenzano Calvina sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 12 matches) and Albinoleffe sit 9th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Desenzano Calvina the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Albinoleffe.
- Where and when is Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe played?
- Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tre Stelle, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.