Tunari vs Păuleşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centrul de Fotbal Buftea Teren Natural, Buftea
The Footlab model makes Tunari the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Păuleşti. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tunari vs Păuleşti?
Tunari starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,343).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tunari have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Păuleşti have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 15, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Blejoi(home) | 6-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Braila(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Petrolul 52 II(home) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Tunari win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Păuleşti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păuleşti 0-3 Tunari | Cupa României |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Păuleşti 0-2 Tunari | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Tunari 3-2 Păuleşti | Liga III - Serie 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tunari score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Păuleşti score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunari | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Păuleşti | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tunari vs Păuleşti?
- The Footlab model makes Tunari the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Păuleşti.
- Where and when is Tunari vs Păuleşti played?
- Tunari vs Păuleşti is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centrul de Fotbal Buftea Teren Natural, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.