Progresul Draganesti vs Păuleşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 18Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Draganesti the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Păuleşti. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Draganesti wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Draganesti vs Păuleşti?
Progresul Draganesti starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,512 vs 1,391).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Draganesti vs Păuleşti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Draganesti
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Draganesti lineup.
Păuleşti
Not enough data to predict the Păuleşti lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Progresul Draganesti have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Păuleşti have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Urban Titu(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Berca(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Plopeni(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Blejoi(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(home) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Progresul Draganesti win, 0 draws, 0 Păuleşti wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Păuleşti 2-3 Progresul Draganesti | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Păuleşti vs Progresul Draganesti on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Draganesti score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Păuleşti score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Draganesti | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Păuleşti | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Draganesti sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 3 (11 points from 7 matches) and Păuleşti sit 12th (2 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 2 |
A question about Progresul Draganesti vs Păuleşti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Draganesti vs Păuleşti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Draganesti the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Păuleşti.
- Where and when is Progresul Draganesti vs Păuleşti played?
- Progresul Draganesti vs Păuleşti is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.