Match

Alexandria vs Cetatea: prediction and stats

Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal 2, Clinceni

AlexandriaCetatea

The Footlab AI model makes Alexandria the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cetatea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alexandria wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alexandria vs Cetatea?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Alexandria (1,560) and Cetatea (1,576).

42%27%31%
Alexandria winDrawCetatea win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Alexandria vs Cetatea

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Alexandria

4-3-3
  1. CC. Cocoș
  2. SS. Iakabfi
  3. BB. Yaméogo
  1. MM. Răducan
  2. VV. Danale
  3. VV. Constantin
  1. VV. Georgescu
  2. AA. Bobaru
  3. PPetruș Pintilie
  4. GG. Nedelea
  1. II. Pletea

Cetatea

Not enough data to predict the Cetatea lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alexandria have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cetatea have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alexandria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Dinamo Bucureşti II(home)1-0Liga III - Serie 5
Oct 2, 2026Voluntari II(away)2-0Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 25, 2026Axi Adunații-Copăceni(home)2-0Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 22, 2026FCSB II(away)3-1Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 18, 2026Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(home)2-2Liga III - Serie 5
Cetatea
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Oxigen Bucuresti(away)0-2Liga III - Serie 5
Oct 2, 2026LPS HD Clinceni(home)2-2Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 26, 2026Progresul Mogosoaia(away)3-3Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 22, 2026Dinamo Bucureşti II(away)3-1Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 18, 2026Voluntari II(home)2-2Liga III - Serie 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alexandria wins, 1 draw, 2 Cetatea wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 20, 2026Alexandria 1-1 CetateaLiga III - Serie 5
Oct 24, 2025Cetatea 2-0 AlexandriaLiga III - Serie 5
Nov 1, 2024Cetatea 0-1 AlexandriaLiga III - Serie 4
Sep 1, 2024Alexandria 3-0 CetateaLiga III - Serie 4
Dec 3, 2022Cetatea 3-1 AlexandriaLiga III - Serie 6
Oct 2, 2022Alexandria 7-1 CetateaLiga III - Serie 6

Last archived meeting: Alexandria vs Cetatea on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alexandria score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cetatea score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alexandria1.41.256/157/15
Cetatea1.91.737/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alexandria sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 5 (14 points from 7 matches) and Cetatea sit 6th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Alexandria742112614
6Cetatea723219119

A question about Alexandria vs Cetatea?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alexandria vs Cetatea?
The Footlab AI model makes Alexandria the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cetatea.
Where and when is Alexandria vs Cetatea played?
Alexandria vs Cetatea is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal 2, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Alexandria and Cetatea

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