Progresul Mogosoaia vs Progresul Spartac: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Progresul Spartac. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Mogosoaia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Mogosoaia vs Progresul Spartac?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Progresul Mogosoaia (1,506) and Progresul Spartac (1,511).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Progresul Spartac
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Mogosoaia
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Mogosoaia lineup.
Progresul Spartac
4-3-3- AA. Florescu
- MM. Andrei
- AA. Chirițoiu
- EE. Pacionel
- AA. Crivac
- GG. Petcu
- DD. Parfeon
- 16V. Calea
- RR. Răducioiu
- SS. Radu
- DD. Paraschiv
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Mogosoaia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Progresul Spartac have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Omega Sport(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Omega Sport(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Progresul Mogosoaia win, 0 draws, 0 Progresul Spartac wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Progresul Spartac 1-2 Progresul Mogosoaia | Liga III - Serie 5 |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Spartac vs Progresul Mogosoaia on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Spartac score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Progresul Spartac | 2.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Mogosoaia sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 5 (9 points from 7 matches) and Progresul Spartac sit 10th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Progresul Spartac | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Progresul Mogosoaia vs Progresul Spartac?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Progresul Spartac?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Progresul Spartac.
- Where and when is Progresul Mogosoaia vs Progresul Spartac played?
- Progresul Mogosoaia vs Progresul Spartac is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.