Match

Progresul Spartac vs Concordia: prediction and stats

Cupa RomânieiGroup StageKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Progresul Spartac, București

Progresul SpartacConcordia

The Footlab model makes Concordia the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Progresul Spartac. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progresul Spartac vs Concordia?

Concordia starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,478).

Progresul Spartac win15 %
Draw18 %
Concordia win67 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Spartac have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Concordia have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progresul Spartac
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026CIL Blaj(away)3-1Cupa României
Aug 12, 2026Metaloglobus(home)2-1Cupa României
Aug 5, 2026Bolintin Vale(away)3-1Cupa României
Jul 29, 2026Progresul Fundulea(home)2-0Cupa României
May 15, 2026Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away)8-0Liga III - Serie 5
Concordia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Politehnica Timisoara(home)1-5Liga II
Aug 19, 2026Oţelul(home)5-1Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026Gloria Bistriţa(away)2-1Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Progresul Mogosoaia(away)4-1Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Bihor Oradea(home)2-0Liga II

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progresul Spartac win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Concordia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2024Concordia 1-0 Progresul SpartacLiga II
Feb 14, 2024Concordia 3-1 Progresul SpartacFriendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2023Progresul Spartac 0-6 ConcordiaLiga II
Apr 22, 2023Concordia 1-0 Progresul SpartacLiga II
Jan 25, 2023Concordia 0-1 Progresul SpartacFriendlies Clubs
Oct 8, 2022Concordia 2-0 Progresul SpartacLiga II

Last archived meeting: Concordia vs Progresul Spartac on Mar 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Progresul Spartac score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Concordia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Progresul Spartac2.51.7310/1510/15
Concordia2.11.149/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progresul Spartac vs Concordia?
The Footlab model makes Concordia the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Progresul Spartac.
Where and when is Progresul Spartac vs Concordia played?
Progresul Spartac vs Concordia is played on September 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Progresul Spartac, in the Cupa României.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Progresul Spartac and Concordia

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