Sporting Lieşti vs Dinamo Bucuresti: prediction and stats
Cupa RomânieiGroup StageKick-off on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Lieşti
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Bucuresti the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Sporting Lieşti. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Lieşti vs Dinamo Bucuresti?
Dinamo Bucuresti starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,596).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Lieşti have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo Bucuresti have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(home) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rapid(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 4-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 5-1 | Liga I |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Lieşti score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Bucuresti score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lieşti | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Lieşti vs Dinamo Bucuresti?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Bucuresti the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Sporting Lieşti.
- Where and when is Sporting Lieşti vs Dinamo Bucuresti played?
- Sporting Lieşti vs Dinamo Bucuresti is played on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Cupa României.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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