Where and when is Minerul Lupeni vs Uta Arad played?

Minerul Lupeni vs Uta Arad is played on September 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Minerul, in the Cupa României.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Minerul Lupeni vs Uta Arad: prediction and stats

Cupa RomânieiGroup StageKick-off on September 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Minerul, Lupeni

Minerul Lupeni

Uta Arad

The Footlab model makes Uta Arad the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Minerul Lupeni. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Minerul Lupeni vs Uta Arad?

Uta Arad starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,607).

Minerul Lupeni win22 %

Draw22 %

Uta Arad win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minerul Lupeni have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Uta Arad have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Minerul Lupeni
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Unirea Slobozia(home)	1-0	Cupa României
Aug 12, 2026	Jiul Petroşani(away)	1-0	Cupa României
Aug 5, 2026	Caransebes(away)	0-0	Cupa României
May 30, 2026	Unirea Alba Iulia(home)	0-3	Liga III - Play-offs
May 23, 2026	CS U Craiova II(away)	3-0	Liga III - Play-offs

Uta Arad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Corvinul Hunedoara(home)	0-0	Liga I
Aug 17, 2026	Universitatea Cluj(away)	1-2	Liga I
Aug 7, 2026	Rapid(home)	0-0	Liga I
Aug 1, 2026	FC Voluntari(away)	0-1	Liga I
Jul 24, 2026	Oţelul(home)	2-2	Liga I

How many goals should we expect?

Minerul Lupeni score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Uta Arad score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Minerul Lupeni	1.3	0.5	11	2/15	4/15
Uta Arad	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Minerul Lupeni vs Uta Arad?: The Footlab model makes Uta Arad the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Minerul Lupeni.
Where and when is Minerul Lupeni vs Uta Arad played?: Minerul Lupeni vs Uta Arad is played on September 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Minerul, in the Cupa României.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.