Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miskyi Tsentralnyi Stadion Rukh, Ivano-Frankivsk
The Footlab model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Prykarpattia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria?
Oleksandria starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prykarpattia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Oleksandria have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Prykarpattia score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Oleksandria score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prykarpattia | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Oleksandria | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prykarpattia sit 9th in Persha Liga (4 points from 4 matches) and Oleksandria sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oleksandria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Prykarpattia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria?
- The Footlab model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Prykarpattia.
- Where and when is Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria played?
- Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria is played on September 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miskyi Tsentralnyi Stadion Rukh, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.