SK Poltava vs Inhulets: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Zirka im. Stanislava Berezkina, Kropyvnytskyi
The Footlab model makes SK Poltava the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Inhulets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SK Poltava vs Inhulets?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate SK Poltava (1,616) and Inhulets (1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SK Poltava have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Inhulets have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mayak Sarny(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 SK Poltava win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Inhulets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | SK Poltava 4-1 Inhulets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Inhulets 3-2 SK Poltava | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 30, 2023 | SK Poltava 1-3 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Inhulets 5-0 SK Poltava | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: SK Poltava vs Inhulets on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SK Poltava score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Inhulets score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Poltava | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Inhulets | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SK Poltava sit 2nd in Persha Liga (8 points from 4 matches) and Inhulets sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SK Poltava | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SK Poltava vs Inhulets?
- The Footlab model makes SK Poltava the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Inhulets.
- Where and when is SK Poltava vs Inhulets played?
- SK Poltava vs Inhulets is played on September 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Zirka im. Stanislava Berezkina, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.