Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandria: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, Ternopil
The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Nyva Ternopil. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oleksandria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandria?
Oleksandria starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nyva Ternopil
4-3-3- 45A. Boryachuk
- 91D. Rezepov
- 99B. Vyshynskyi
- 17M. Pezhynskyi
- 28A. Gabelok
- 33M. Mysyk
- 75I. Snurnitsyn
- 11M. Mykhalchuk
- 94V. Burtnyk
- 44S. Davydov
- 1M. Mekhaniv
Oleksandria
4-3-3- 9M. Tretyakov
- 44Jhonnatan Silva
- 25O. Kozak
- 21R. Tolochko
- 14R. Kuzmin
- 30Y. Kopyna
- 5O. Dykhtyaruk
- 2T. Dmytruk
- 3V. Adamyuk
- 4N. Gavrylyuk
- 33A. Klishchuk
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 12:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Ternopil have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Oleksandria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Nyva Ternopil wins, 2 draws, 3 Oleksandria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oleksandria 1-1 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Apr 14, 2015 | Nyva Ternopil 0-1 Oleksandria | Persha Liga |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Oleksandria 3-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| May 18, 2014 | Nyva Ternopil 2-4 Oleksandria | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2013 | Oleksandria 1-1 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Oleksandria vs Nyva Ternopil on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Ternopil score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oleksandria score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Ternopil | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Oleksandria | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Ternopil sit 7th in Persha Liga (18 points from 13 matches) and Oleksandria sit 4th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 7 | Nyva Ternopil | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
A question about Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Nyva Ternopil.
- Where and when is Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandria played?
- Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandria is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.