PSIS Semarang vs PSMS Medan: prediction and stats
Liga 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Jatidiri, Semarang
The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for PSIS Semarang. The most likely score is 1-1. If PSMS Medan wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,124 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSIS Semarang vs PSMS Medan?
PSMS Medan starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,632).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PSIS Semarang vs PSMS Medan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PSIS Semarang
4-3-3- 7D. Corfe
- 91F. Cadenazzi
- 11M. Hamdi
- 41A. Fisabilillah
- 10J. Bustos
- 27F. Ridwan
- 33Komang Tri
- 97A. Setyo
- 20H. Akbar
- 15Fabiano Beltrame
- 1R. Rahayu
PSMS Medan
4-2-3-1- 9Javi Siverio
- 19P. Putra
- 14R. Utama
- 15M. Rangga
- 96A. Hutagalung
- 69M. Lestusen
- 3Ângelo
- 5B. Arrahim
- 2R. Utina
- 26R. Nurviat
- 65R. Nurdin
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSIS Semarang have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; PSMS Medan have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sumsel United(away) | 4-1 | Liga 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Persikad Depok FC(home) | 0-0 | Liga 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSMS Medan(away) | 1-2 | Liga 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | PSGC Ciamis(away) | 0-0 | Liga 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Persiraja Banda Aceh(home) | 1-3 | Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Persiraja Banda Aceh(home) | 5-0 | Liga 2 |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-1 | League Cup Indonesia |
| Oct 31, 2026 | PSGC Ciamis(away) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSIS Semarang(home) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 PSIS Semarang wins, 0 draws, 1 PSMS Medan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSMS Medan 2-1 PSIS Semarang | Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2018 | PSMS Medan 2-3 PSIS Semarang | Liga 1 |
| Apr 15, 2018 | PSIS Semarang 4-1 PSMS Medan | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSIS Semarang score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; PSMS Medan score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSIS Semarang | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| PSMS Medan | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSIS Semarang sit 8th in Liga 2 (23 points from 27 matches) and PSMS Medan sit 7th (36 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | PSMS MedanGroup A | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
| 8 | PSIS SemarangGroup B | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 50 | 23 |
A question about PSIS Semarang vs PSMS Medan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSIS Semarang vs PSMS Medan?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for PSIS Semarang.
- Where and when is PSIS Semarang vs PSMS Medan played?
- PSIS Semarang vs PSMS Medan is played on January 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Jatidiri, in the Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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