Match

Sumsel United vs Semen Padang: prediction and stats

Liga 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Sumsel UnitedSemen Padang

The Footlab AI model makes Sumsel United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Semen Padang. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sumsel United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sumsel United vs Semen Padang?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Sumsel United (1,698) and Semen Padang (1,653).

46%26%28%
Sumsel United winDrawSemen Padang win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sumsel United vs Semen Padang

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sumsel United

4-3-3
  1. 28A. Satria
  2. 22T. Darmawan
  3. 11K. Toyo
  1. 16C. Bhagascara
  2. 6T. Pangestu
  3. 10Felipe Ryan
  1. 4R. Akbar
  2. 25F. Sokoy
  3. 34F. Damara
  4. 23R. Dimas
  1. 81A. Ramadhan

Semen Padang

4-3-3
  1. 9I. Spasojević
  2. 6S. Lilipaly
  3. 91Rahmat
  1. 8M. Hargianto
  2. 11N. Setiawan
  3. 96Savio Roberto
  1. 27S. Tahar
  2. 26I. Cukovic
  3. 28R. Hehanussa
  4. 73Zulkifli Lukmansyah
  1. 12I. Al Giffari

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 06:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sumsel United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Semen Padang have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sumsel United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026PSIS Semarang(home)1-4Liga 2
Oct 30, 2026Semen Padang(away)0-1Liga 2
Oct 24, 2026Bekasi City(away)1-1Liga 2
Oct 18, 2026Persikad Depok FC(home)2-1Liga 2
Oct 10, 2026Persiku Kudus(home)5-1Liga 2
Semen Padang
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Sumsel United(home)1-0Liga 2
Oct 24, 2026Persiku Kudus(away)2-1Liga 2
Oct 17, 2026PSMS Medan(home)1-1Liga 2
Oct 11, 2026Persikad Depok FC(away)1-2Liga 2
Oct 4, 2026PSPS(home)0-1Liga 2

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Sumsel United wins, 0 draws, 1 Semen Padang win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Semen Padang 1-0 Sumsel UnitedLiga 2

Last archived meeting: Semen Padang vs Sumsel United on Oct 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sumsel United score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Semen Padang score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sumsel United1.41.7011/158/15
Semen Padang0.61.734/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Sumsel United271269403342

A question about Sumsel United vs Semen Padang?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sumsel United vs Semen Padang?
The Footlab AI model makes Sumsel United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Semen Padang.
Where and when is Sumsel United vs Semen Padang played?
Sumsel United vs Semen Padang is played on January 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sumsel United and Semen Padang

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