PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang: prediction and stats
Liga 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Baharuddin Siregar, Lubuk Pakam, Deli Serdang
The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for PSIS Semarang. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang?
PSMS Medan starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,580).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PSMS Medan
4-2-3-1- 7I. Jauhari
- 69M. Lestusen
- 19P. Putra
- 8A. Cahya
- 68F. Rahman
- 15M. Rangga
- 3Ângelo
- 26R. Nurviat
- 12S. Christianson
- 55Asyraq Gufron
- 65R. Nurdin
PSIS Semarang
4-3-3- 7D. Corfe
- 31K. Sulistia
- 11M. Hamdi
- 41A. Fisabilillah
- 10J. Bustos
- 32R. D. Septiawan
- 33Komang Tri
- 18A. Lestaluhu
- 15Fabiano Beltrame
- 25A. Arjunsyah
- 52R. Darmawan
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSMS Medan have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; PSIS Semarang have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Persikad Depok FC(home) | 4-0 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bekasi City(away) | 1-0 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Persiku Kudus(home) | 6-0 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sumsel United(away) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-4 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bekasi City(home) | 1-0 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PSPS(home) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | PSS Sleman(away) | 0-3 | Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 PSMS Medan wins, 0 draws, 2 PSIS Semarang wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2018 | PSMS Medan 2-3 PSIS Semarang | Liga 1 |
| Apr 15, 2018 | PSIS Semarang 4-1 PSMS Medan | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang on Sep 12, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
PSMS Medan score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PSIS Semarang score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSMS Medan | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| PSIS Semarang | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSMS Medan sit 7th in Liga 2 (36 points from 27 matches) and PSIS Semarang sit 8th (23 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | PSMS MedanGroup A | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
| 8 | PSIS SemarangGroup B | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 50 | 23 |
A question about PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSMS Medan the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for PSIS Semarang.
- Where and when is PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang played?
- PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Baharuddin Siregar, in the Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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